thinking out loud

Bomb set hits Dee Why at about 0715

Hello Friends,

As expected, the big guy is slinging Sydneysiders some energy this morning. It’s been on the models for days now and late last night it was apparent that it’d be filling into our beaches by daybreak. Heaps of people were on it from first light at Dee Why. Most of them were in the beachy which is more consistent than the point. Size is around the chest high mark on the average ones, but there are some bombs in the mix that definitely push into the overhead range. And, looking at the buoy data, I’d say the forecast of 2.5 metres of swell for today is right on the money. The all important power setting is sitting on 10 sec, so there should be some beltable sections around the place. Swell direction is SSE which again is pretty amenable to Sydney surf requirements. The Bureau says Huey’s gonna play nice with the wind settings too: light westerly this morning for those lucky enough to be able to get in, going around to NE 10-15kts this afternoon for the north corners.

Alas, I’m still on magazine duty, so I’m not certain I’ll be able to get away to shoot some snaps or vid for you… but we shall see!

Outlook is for the pulse to start fading away overnight and for us then to go back into smaller but not flat conditions as we head toward the weekend.

Go well with your day!

Hello Friends,

Swell seems to have faded back from yesterday’s midday peak, but it’s not looking totally flat at Dee Why beach. Pretty small, yes. Inconsistent, yes, but not quite the zippo conditions of last week. In fact, from the shape of the models, it looks like we’re in for at least one small pulse from tomorrow into Wednesday. The MHL buoy is showing SSE swell that is averaging about 2 metres with a less than powerful 8 second period. It’s going to be one of those days when some spots are completely flat while others have waist to chest high conditions (if not a bit bigger on the bombs).

The Bureau says the wind will shift from the NW around to the SW and push up into the 15-20 kt range in middle part of the day before dropping back a bit toward evening while also going more around to the south. Tomorrow the call is for light W/NW early swinging around to a 15-20 kt N-NE’r. Meanwhile, the swell, is set to stay from the same SSE’ly direction but should build into the 2-3 metre range with another second or two of period power dialled in for good measure.

So, another week stands before us. Are we ready? Enjoy and may you have yourself a good one.

Hello Friends,

Did you find waves yesterday? If you were canny enough to have tracked something down, my advice would be to go back and have another look there today because the dead south swell has perked up slightly. It’s gone from about 0.5 metre on average at 6 seconds at this time yesterday, to around 8 seconds and 1.5 metres. Dee Why is distinctly bigger than yesterday, but that’s not saying much as it was flat! It’s now around the knee to waist high level there. Places with more direct exposure to the south, should be a bit bigger on the sets. This’ll be good news for the people running the contest at Northy as conditions there yesterday were dire.

The swell models are still calling for a reasonable pulse from late Monday through Wednesday. If the wind forecast is right, then Tuesday morning could be a corker with 2-3 metres of 10 sec south swell and light westerlies… yum!

Go well with your day!