thinking out loud

Hello Friends,

Yesterday there were a few little things around to play on, but gee, this morning looks pretty sad. Couldn’t see anyone in the water along the Dee Why stretch and I reckon it won’t be Robinson Cruso either.

The MHL buoy off Sydney provides an objective verification of what one can see (don’t need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows…). Overnight the little south east trickle has dropped from around 8 seconds to just 6. Even though the average size out at sea is around the 2 metre mark, the northerly direction and short period aren’t doing us any good at all.

The marine forecast for the Sydney region is for the wind to swing from the NW around to the NE but not get up to much more than 13 kts this afternoon. Outlook for tomorrow  is more W/NW wind and micro windswell.

A scan of the  forecast models reveals a uniformly gloomy outlook across the next week for the east coast of Australia. It looks like you folk down Victoria way at least have the prospect of some size, albeit with a fair amount of wind today, and stupid amounts tomorrow (w-sw 30-40 kts).

Ah well, that’s spring for ya…

Anyway, have yourself a top old day with whatever you’ve got on…

Hello Friends,

High tide is out of the way for this morning and with any luck the current fat conditions may give way to something a bit more surfable before the NE’r kicks in this afternoon (forecast is for 20-25kts). Size at sea is around the same as this time yesterday when we had waist high conditions at south east spots. The average period is around the 8 second mark and the average height is around a metre. The difference is that yesterday morning we had some 11 second component, but today it’s a touch below 10 sec - ie, don’t expect as many shoulder high sets today.

Again, the MHL buoys show that it’s pretty much this way up and down the coast of NSW.

Outlook for tomorrow is slightly less of the same, so it might be a plan to eke a little something out this morning if the schedule permits. That said, it’s not exactly all time, so if other responsibilities have crowded out the surf option, not to worry!

The forecast models are  showing not much for the Sydney region for as far ahead as they go. It generally looks marginal to nearly flat for the next week right now…

Oh well, what can ya do?

Enjoy your day and stay happy!

Hello Friends,

Nice start to the day in Sydney and we still have some little waves at south facing spots. Quite a few bods getting in a quick splash at Dee Why before the obligations crowd in on their respective days. Not impressive in an absolute sense, but at least it’s glassy and there are a few catchable ones into the chest high range (although it’s mostly smaller than that).

The general outlook is for a continuing slow decline in energy levels. We’re starting out with about 1.5 metres of south swell at 8 seconds. There is some 10 sec component in the mix (probably where those bigger sets are coming from), and the sea plus swell heights are touching into the 2 metre plus range off Sydney.

The take-away? Get out there as soon as you can because our swell is dribbling away. From tomorrow it would appear that Sydneysiders are in for a stretch of small to flat conditions.

Begging your indulgence, I’d like to repeat an item from last week if I may…

As many long time visitors will know, RealSurf’s been a strong supporter of the excellent works of Surfrider Foundation. For the past 16 years Surfrider has combined its Annual General Meeting with a day of public talks and forums on topics of interest to surfers. This time around the Northern Beaches Surfrider group has taken on the task of devising and staging the public events. It’s all going to happen on the weekend of the 19-21 of October at the Coastal Environment Centre in North Narrabeen. You can check out the details by going here: http://tinyurl.com/2ryvcl and if you’d like to register to come along (space is limited), please go here: http://tinyurl.com/39w8y9 You can even download a pdf of the brochure (designed by RealSurf’s very own Shari!) from here: http://tinyurl.com/363jeh

Go well with your day!