Archive for November, 2007

Nov 30 2007

On we go with flatness

Published by under Surf reports

Hello Friends,

Looks like a mild Friday for those of us lucky enough to live in Sydney. Out on the coast we’re supposed to get to around 22, while folk inland are looking at an equally pleasant 23. As I begin writing this around 0730, the wind is light and there are big swathes of blue sky. But the surf… you wanted surf? Well, if we look at Huey’s scribbles on the MHL Sydney buoy, we see an average period of just 7 seconds and an average height of just a touch under a metre. The bulk of the energy – such as it is – is coming from SE.

The call is for the wind to wander around between the south and the east at about 10-15 kts.

I’d say the Goat’s call for the day is still holding. Not a lot on offer basically for the east coast.

I’ll take a look at the longer range trends tomorrow, but right now it looks to me as though our best hope is for a small east pulse filling in tomorrow. I’m cautious though, because there’s not a hint of it on the MHL buoy data at the moment.

Have yourself a top old Friday and go well with your endeavors!

puny at Dee Why

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Nov 29 2007

Some little ones on offer

Published by under Surf reports

Hello Friends,

Coming off the high tide this morning, there were some intersting looking little things coming in along the stretch of beach north from Dee Why SLSC. There was even an almost-rideable set at the point when I was eyeballing the situation around 0645. As you can see from the pic I posted, the faces on the bigger sets are into the chest high range.

The windswell is coming mainly from the east at about 8 seconds and is averaging around a metre according to MHL’s Sydney buoy. The only significant change from yesterday is the direction – otherwise Huey seems to have left all the settings untouched for this morning’s offering.

According to the Bureau, we’re due to have 10-15 kts of ESE wind today. Not the best for surface conditions, but what can ya do? They’re saying it’ll go along this way through Saturday. So, as usual, the earlier you get to the beach, the better the surface conditions.

Good to see a little low off Queensland in the Bureau’s synoptic for Sunday. With luck that’ll help push up the energy levels a touch. Obviously it’ll be more useful for those of you up along the far north NSW and SE Qld coastline. I’ll be interested to see what the Goat makes of it all…

Have yourself a top old day!

Look! A little wave at Dee Why this morning.

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Nov 28 2007

It’s another little day in paradise

Published by under Surf reports

Hello Friends,

The forecast was for the possibility of a few showers in the Sydney region, but it doesn’t look likely now. Warm and humid with just a faint breeze. The cicadas are loving it.

Surf situation is similar to yesterday as far as my little stretch of Sydney’s northern beaches are concerned. There are some tiny little things trickling in at spots with good exposure to the mainly south windswell. But size is really only up to about waist high most places. There might be the odd chest high bomb if you’re lucky, but it’s really more a morning for swimming, beachcombing, fishing, sauntering… you get the picture.

From the look of things, we’re pretty unlikely to see much of a change to conditions in the Sydney region for the next 4 days, but then things may possibly shift a bit toward surfin’ Nothing I’m too excited about right now, but a couple of the long range models seem to be showing some interesting developments just off the coast of SE Queensland that could see a little low pop up with consequent positive implications in the east swell department. If one of the models is correct, next Monday-Tuesday should be mighty fine on the Goldie with a nice east swell, south wind combo. Whether or not that system pushes down to wave starved Sydney is up to Huey, but I like the sounds emanating from his Tuesday next week wave department.

Get out there if ya can, and breathe deep, you’re on this planet for another day. Go well with it.gf_28nov07dybq2.jpg

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Nov 27 2007

Rain arrives at 0700

Published by under Surf reports

Hello Friends,

You know it’s pretty ordinary when you find yourself idly browsing swell forecast models around the world. For what it’s worth, the places to be toward the end of the week look like being in the northern hemisphere. The North Shore should get a walloping this coming weekend, and surfers from Ireland to Morocco will be waxing up the rhino chasers as well. Friday could be interesting for Nor Cal surfers as well.

Yes, all very interesting Don. Stop putting it off…

The situation at Dee Why is, not to put too fine a point on it, dire. The MHL buoy is showing a metre of 8 second SSE windswell flopping weakly into our region. Not much more than that up and down the entire east coast actually. And from the look of the aforementioned models, the current arrangements are not expected to change much over the next week. There is some prospect of small 10-11 sec period east swell toward the weekend. The best size is currently predicted to be roughly north from Brisbane, but with luck we’ll see something in the way of a slight improvement down here in Sydney…

Go well with your day!

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Nov 26 2007

Another grey, gloomy start

Published by under Surf reports

Hello Friends,

After yesterday’s lovely weather, we’re back to gloom along the Sydney coast. There’s not much wind about  and the Bureau says it’ll only get up into the 10-15 kt range from the ESE. It’s due to clear up in the middle part of the day before the clouds and occasional showers return for this evening.

Surf situation is looking grim at Dee Why. Couldn’t see anyone in the water and I’d say that has a fair amount to do with the combination of gloom and very weak, slow moving knee to waist high dribble. The main energy is coming from the east along our stretch of coast. Average size at sea is around a metre at 8 seconds. Not a recipe for useful energy levels anywhere I would’ve thought.

From the look of the charts, we’re in for more of these marginal conditions across the next 4 days or so all along the east coast. Toward the end of the week at least one of the models thinks we might get a little junky SE windswell. But between now and then, well, let’s just say I hope to be proven wrong.

Have yourself a top old day!

gloomy and tiny at Dee Why - again

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Nov 25 2007

Small to almost flat

Published by under Surf reports

Hello Friends,

Interesting developments overnight eh? So, now Australia will ratify Kyoto. Hooray! Huey isn’t showing much excitement post election though. There are some small waves about at Dee Why, but they’re struggling to get into the waist high range. As usual, the Goat called it spot on.

To put some numbers on it, the average size of windswell off the coast of NSW is around the metre mark. Here in Sydney, the direction is basically east and, like the rest of the coast, the average period is around the 8 sec mark. I reckon if you find a beach well tuned for this combination, you might see the occasional bomb set into the chest high range. But for the most part, it is, as just noted, only around knee to waist high.

I’m not too excited about the surf prospect for the coming week at the moment. The models are varying a little, but the general agreement is that we’re unlikely to see much of significance along the east coast for another week.

Ah well.

So it goes. Huey will be back…

gf_25nov07.jpg

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Nov 24 2007

Wet and drippy but some little fun ones

Published by under Surf reports

 gf_24nov07dyb.jpg

Hello Friends,

Saturday started out misty and calm along Sydney’s beaches. But more importantly, it started out with a few waves as well. Best sets are up to shoulder high at those spots that like the primary south swell direction. Average height at sea is around the 2 metre mark and the average period is 7 seconds.

Quality is unlikely to be fabulous (the period is just too short), but at least there is the prospect of a little something at those south facing stretches. Figure waist high, with the odd bigger one when set waves double up. But thanks to that short period, they’ll often be relatively weak and gutless, so you’re going to have fun with your most buoyant equipment.

Wind is set to be out of the SW this morning at around the 10-15kt mark before tending around to the ENE this afternoon.

General outlook is for the swell energy to fade slowly today and into tomorrow. Nothing too exciting looking for the next few days in our region.  So get out and do your civic duty at the polls, then dive in for a quick one at your fave south spot.

Go well!

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Nov 23 2007

Grey skies, SW winds & election over the horizon

Published by under Surf reports

Hello Friends,

20-30 kts of SW wind at the more exposed places this morning, but not much happening on the surf front sad to say. Again, it’s not totally flat, but at Dee Why where the wind is relatively light and coming from a benign direction, the size is only around the waist high mark. There were a few keen bods in just up the beach from the SLSC getting some exercise and no doubt having a few laughs along the way. As you do!

The MHL buoy for Sydney is showing  2  metres of 7sec south windswell. Down at Batemans Bay the data is much the same, so I reckon that means what we have now in Sydney will probably be maintained through the day.

The Bureau says there may be some light showers or drizzle this morning and that it’ll stay cloudy all day.

As many of our loyal readers will know, I’m a politics junky. So, on the eve of an election, I hope you’ll cut me some slack as I do a little editorialising!

To me, democracy is an extraordinary and hard fought for privilege bestowed upon and entrusted to us by the generations who preceded our arrival on this little old orb. But I think much of popular culture encourages indifference and even low level hostility toward the mechanisms of democracy. However, I reckon it’s the best form of governance we’ve yet worked out, and I’ll always be grateful for all those generations before mine who worked so hard and who died to protect it. I’m really looking forward to standing in that booth tomorrow. making my little ticks on a bit of paper.

Many of you will be aware of the online ginger group called Get Up. They’re a real phenomenon in their own right and are doing some quite fascinating (to me!) stuff with online tools. One that I can recommend to all of you, is their www.howshouldivote.com.au site. You enter your postcode, respond to a dozen attitude questions and the system suggests the candidates that are closest to your views. I tried it as both conservative and not very conservative imaginary voters and it worked well. This is especially useful if you haven’t really kept up to date on the folks running in your local area, but would really like to support someone with views close to your own.

Go well with your day!

dee why around 0730

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Nov 22 2007

Little bit of energy showing

Published by under Surf reports

Hello Friends,

We have a  small uptick in the swell energy evident at Dee Why and I daresay, elsewhere in the Sydney region. I wouldn’t be making too much of it, but at least there’s something catchable rolling softly in. Size seems to be around the knee to waist high mark, so something with a little volume is probably required to make the most of it.

The average period is around the 7 second mark in our part of the world. It’s  much the same along the rest of the east coast. Primary direction is east and the wind is currently lightly out of the south west. The Bureau says it’s going to swing to the SE and push up into the 20-30 kt range.  There’s a strong wind warning between Ulladulla and Broken Bay and a gale warning for south of Ulladulla.

All that wind should result in a further increase in the swell size over the next day or so. I’d be keeping an eye on those southern buoys though, because as I write this, they’re not showing much of anything on the build.

The forecast models are showing short period south swell peaking tomorrow, but after that… well, I might keep my counsel to see what the Goat says…

Apropos nothing in particular, Shari and I had a go with a couple of standup paddleboards yesterday under the tutelage of GSI founder Mark Kelly. I can now see why it’s such a good workout and can understand how you could really get into it.

And then yesterday evening I had the mind expanding privilege  of listening to a talk by Dr Ian Lowe at the State Library (what a magnificent institution that is just by the way). He focused on the kind of future we’re currently sloping toward (profligate destruction of the ecosystem and atmosphere upon which we utterly and completely depend) and the kind of future that we could be working toward. Inspiring and sobering at once. The man is a treasure.

Here’s a link to Ian’s Bio, which in turn has links to some of his talks http://tinyurl.com/2sx38s

Have yourself a great Thursday!

22nov07dyb.jpg

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Nov 21 2007

Wind on the way

Published by under Surf reports

 out for a standup paddle at DY

Hello Friends,

Another very small to flat day for Sydney. Not that we’re alone on this. It looks as though conditions are much the same along much of the east coast today. Dee Why is indicative of the general problem. It’s very small – unsurfably so, I’d say – and the first hint of a breeze was chopping up the surface at 0700.

The Bureau says the Sydney region should see the NE’r kicking up into the 18-23 kts range this morning, and by dusk the call is 25-30 kts. In theory this should ramp up a little short period NE windswell for the late (with heaps of wind of course).

The wind is set to blow all night and still be blasting along tomorrow morning ahead of a late afternoon south change of similar strength.

Longer term outlook is  not particularly interesting for our region, but as you go north along the east coast, the swell forecast has certain intriguing characteristics… basically, it appears that from about Friday onward, there should be a steady supply of fun size east swell for you lucky kids living in that beautiful part of the world.

If you don’t mind brisk water conditions, west facing surfzones in Vic and SA look promising in a pretty serious way over the next 48-72 hours – at least.

Go well with your day!

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