thinking out loud

Hello Friends,

Pretty small along the northern beaches this morning. A few people in the water at Northy and one or two at Dee Why when I checked around 0600-0630. Maximum size might be waist high, but mostly it’s smaller than that. Pretty gutless as well because the waves are only 5-6 seconds apart. Plus, we have a big high tide filling in at around 1030… so, not what you’d call great surf prospects.

And the general outlook is for more of the same across the tomorrow and Saturday… but then things start getting very interesting - if the models are to be believed.

From late Friday there should be obvious signs of the increasing swell along the far north coast. Come Saturday morning things could be more than a little interesting along the Goldie as a E-ENE swell starts filling in as the wind goes around pretty hard to the SSE. By Sunday the Goldie could be well and truly maxed out with at least one of the models calling for upwards of 6 metres of 12 sec period east swell.

24-36 hours later it should begin to be pretty obvious along the coast as far south as Sydney. The models don’t show us getting into the size range of the far north coast, but they are indicating solid 11-12 sec 2-3 metre stuff from mid afternoon Sunday. This should build a touch more into Monday and on current reckoning, last right through Wednesday. Unlike the far north, our wind forecast is currently for lighter, but mainly onshore conditions across Sun-Tue…

All good!

Go well with your day!

Hello Friends,

The gloomy conditions of Christmas day in Sydney have given way to increasingly blue skies this morning. Not much wind about for the early risers either (it’ll go 10-15kts NE this arvo). But there the good news pretty much ends for surfin’ folk in Sydney and hereabouts.

There is a small SSE swell, but at only 1.5 metres and around 8 seconds apart, it is producing only the most marginal surf outcomes at beaches facing into the primary direction. The biggest wave I saw between DY and North Narrabeen was a solitary set that might have been chest high for an instant before it shutdown at a non-descript bank somewhere north of DYSLSC. The Long Reef end of the beach where one might hope for the occasional wave, showed nothing of interest during the time I watched. I suppose there could be the odd waist high set, but it’d be a bonus. Around the corner along the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch, things were/are no more inspiring. One person was sitting hopefully just off the beach at about the Marquesas while half a dozen stalwarts were flying the flag of optimism up at Northy.

I reckon if you catch a waist high wave at a south facing stretch of beach in NSW today, you’re doing well.

The outlook for tomorrow and Friday is no brighter. Indeed, on current reckoning the models are showing near flat conditions into Saturday. But from Sunday on… things start looking very interesting indeed.

For the last few days now, the models have been showing a low pressure system forming up off the SE coast of Queensland and then gradually moving toward the coast. The call is currently for the swell to go east and start building in size and period from early Saturday on the far north coast and in SE Queensland. It could get pretty big too. At least one of the models is showing 4-5 metres of 11 sec ESE swell (with blasting southerlies) by late Sunday. At around that time, we should be getting some forerunner ENE swell into the Sydney region. Peak day for us currently looks to be Monday when (according to one model anyway) we should be seeing 3 metres or so of 11 sec E swell and lightish SE wind.

With luck, we’ll have  juicy conditions right through to New Year’s Day.

We shall see!

Go well with your day and get up to some good where you can.

Hello Friends

Taking a break from all the Christmas activities around our joint to say a quick hi and Happy Christmas to one and all. Not much happening on the wave front in Sydney today, nor, judging from Shari’s Tathra report and Dan’s Byron Bay call, is there much of anything going on along the east coast. So, no need to slip away from the festivities!

Interesting outlook for the weekend along the east coast. Models continue to show development of a low pressure system just off SE Qld toward the end of the week. At least one of the models is calling for  10sec period ENE swell starting to make itself felt around Sunday morning in the Sydney region. It looks set to build steadily into Monday and I’d be very surprised if it wasn’t still going pretty well come Tuesday. All good.

Okay, that’s all from me. Go well, one and all.