Feb 21 2008

Here it comes…

Published by at 7:07 am under Surf reports

 Little signs of the new swell already showing

Hello Friends,

The much anticipated swell has started to fill into Sydney this morning. If you were down at Dee Why around 0730, you were getting some glassy shoulder high sets and seeing the odd bigger bomb. According to the Bureau, there could be a light shower or two around this morning, but for the most part it should be a fine day. The wind should swing from this morning’s light SW around to a less favourable 10-15 kts of SE’ly. At the same time, the swell is due to ramp up into the 3 metre range.

The latest observations coming from the MHL buoy network are showing a touch over a metre on average at about 9 sec from the east. Up the coast the average periods are closer to the 10 sec mark and average heights at sea are near 3 metres.

As suggested by the models, the low responsible for kicking the swell up is moving pretty quickly off to the SW, so at this stage I’m thinking the peak won’t be happening tomorrow am as I thought earlier, but could be during the early night hours today instead. There is some variability in the models though, and some are still showing the peak of the curve lunchtime tomorrow. It’s all good fun!

The weekend looks as though it’ll see the swell fading, but I’m hopeful that it won’t be knocked out completely by the strong SW change due late Friday afternoon. I’ll be interested to see what the Goat reckons for the week ahead, because I think we should basically have something more or less surfable with a little burst of extra south energy early in the work week.

Get out there if you can and have yourself a good one!

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