Archive for February, 2008

Feb 18 2008

Published by under Surf reports

 18feb08dy.jpg

Hello Friends,

Into a holding pattern for Sydney surfers I’d say.  But, the ever busy Huey looks to be up to something interesting. Here’s an excerpt from the BoM’s NSW marine forecast:

“There is an expectation of a development of a low in northern Tasman Sea/Coral Sea during the next couple of days with a hint that the low might track towards the Queensland/NSW border before moving away to the east.”

The MHL buoy off Sydney is currently showing a metre of ese windswell at about 7 sec apart. If you find a wave, you’ll be doing very well today in Sydney. Average size is a touch bigger up the coast but the period is still averaging only around 8 seconds, so I’d say conditions won’t be spectacular.

Now for a bit of fun speculation…

From tomorrow folks living in SE Queensland should possibly see the first little signs of improvement. By Weds, if the low spins up as expected, the energy increase should be getting obvious. The further down the coast you go, the less hopeful the surf situation looks, but come Thursday a clear improvement to size from the east should be at least as far south as the Hunter region. Sydney could be starting to warm up energy-wise by that afternoon, and then on Friday it could all come together with light winds, hot skies and head high to head high plus east swell.

Fun speculating, isn’t it?

Have yourself a top old day!

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Feb 17 2008

Published by under Surf reports

Ocean swim day at Dee Why and it’s all happening.

Hello Friends,

Another gloomy  la nina morning along the Sydney seaboard. Huey has all the settings on ho-hum this morning. Wind isn’t doing much yet, but the Bureau says it’ll get up into the 10-15 kt range from the E-SE later. The swell is still out of the SSE at about a metre on a period of around 8 seconds. That is translating into weak and wobbly waist high burgers at Dee Why.

On a brighter note, the forecast models are still looking pretty interesting for the end of the coming week. Right now the super computers in Monterey reckon that a big system will develop east of the Gold Coast from around Wednesday and then expand to create a reasonable size swell zone that will wash over a zone from around Noosa to the Vic border starting late Weds and going through the weekend.

At the moment, it looks as though we’ll start seeing the energy in Sydney from around Thursday (but the mid north coast will be going pretty nutty by that stage), with the peak day hitting us Friday. It’ll be strongly onshore north of Sydney, but at least one of the models seems to be showing that Friday may not be too bad for breeze around here. We shall see…

Have yourself a top old Sunday!

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Feb 16 2008

Published by under Surf reports

 16feb08dyb.jpg

Hello Friends,

Hasn’t quite gone flat. It’s small though and you’ll need to get to a spot with reasonable exposure to the south where the little 8 sec, 1.5 metre S swell is getting in. Not much wind about along the northern beaches as the day gets started, but at more exposed spots (such as the Little Bay AWS, there’s already 10* kts of SSE’ly. The Bureau says that the wind should, if anything, drop off inshore as the morning goes along.

As I write this just after 0715, there are sets into the waist to chest high range on the bombs at Dee Why beach. Mostly it’s averaging a bit smaller. Seems to be reasonably consistent and the chop of yesterday afternoon has abated to a reasonable extent.

Outlook for tomorrow is for the swell to weaken a bit more, so I wouldn’t be feeling too annoyed if my Sunday schedule precluded surfing. There should be something very small about and the wind will only be lightly onshore.

Week ahead looks small to flat until Thursday-ish when a couple of the models are saying we could be in for a burst of seriously interesting ENE swell starting to fill in. This is right at the edge of the models’ forecast range, so it could as easily vanish in the meantime, but at the moment the call is for a very intense low to spin up in the eastern Tasman and then to come at us! (Currently the call seems to be for massive: ie 4-5 metres at 10-12 sec from the NE with not much wind).

Go well!

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Feb 15 2008

Published by under Surf reports

Junky ones for the keen at Dee Why

Hello Friends,

Another grey start with a bit of drizzle around the place and a steady supply of  12-15 kt SSE wind to take the shine off the quality. The outlook is for the wind to decrease as the day goes along and for the swell, such as it is, to track downward. Right now, it’s around the 8-9 sec mark on the power setting and about 2 metres on average from the south.

The Bureau tells us that it’ll be cloudy through the day and again relatively cool with a high around 23 on the coast.

Having knocked off another issue of Photo Review, I’m back to tweaking and polishing the system that makes RealSurf appear every day.

Go well with your day and may it all turn out for the best.

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Feb 14 2008

Grey skies, bit of mist…

Published by under Surf reports

Hello Friends,

Dripping gloom surrounds the wheelhouse on the good ship realsurf this morning, so until the mists clear a bit, I can’t post a pic – or see the ocean. But I can spread a few forecasts out on the chart table and under a gently swinging green shaded brass oil lamp, make a few notes about the delphic pronouncements coming from a supercomputer centre in Monterey…

Starting close to home, the MHL buoy off Sydney is currently showing 8 seconds of south swell at 2 metres. The wind along our shoreline is light from the SW. The Bureau says it’ll go more to the south and pick up to 18-23 kts in the afternoon.

From what the aforesaid super computers are saying, we should have south swell in the rideable range for the next two to three days in the Sydney region. Thereafter the outlook becomes less interesting as periods decrease into the sub-8 sec range and average size drops to a metre or so.

Have yourself a top old day!

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Feb 13 2008

Little waves about as the southerly kicks in

Published by under Surf reports

 0715: Little ones in the corner at Dee Why…

Hello Friends,

Well, it’s dropped again. But there were a few folks in the water down at Dee Why catching the odd little waist high wave. Surface conditions in the corner were pretty clean too, even though the southerly is anywhere between 15 and 30 kts along the Sydney coast. Swell direction is bouncing around a little but by the time we get to dusk, it will be steadily SE. And, as it comes around to match up with the wind direction, we should see bigger sets. Along with this, the cloud is set to increase and the Bureau says we should start seeing a few showers.

Outlook for tomorrow is more cloudiness, the odd shower and southerlies. In fact, from the look of the forecast models, we’re in for south swell for the next four days or so. With luck, the wind won’t get too out of hand and we should be able to jag a few in our south corners.

Have yourself a great Wednesday and may the apology being made this morning by Mr Rudd in Parliament be a truly significant step forward. The wait for that little word has been a long one…

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Feb 12 2008

Smaller on Tuesday, but not flat

Published by under Surf reports

12 Feb 08: little glassy things at Dee Why

Hello Friends,

As expected, the windswell that was pushing into Sydney’s beaches yesterday has dropped off sharply overnight. But it isn’t actually flat. Dee Why was showing some waist high and rideable little things – and it was glassy. Swell at sea is currently out of the SE at about a metre at 8 seconds. The Bureau says that our wind will push up through the day to be be around 15-20 kts from the N-NE by this afternoon. Tide will be high late this morning, so it’s a case of the earlier you can get in, the better.

There are some interesting points to the NSW marine forecast this morning. We have a trough up off the north coast that the Bureau reckons could turn into a low overnight and then move away to the east. Meanwhile, a cold front off to the south will start its run up the coast.

Wednesday looks like being southerly all up and down the NSW coast. Here in Sydney the Bureau says we can expect it to build to 25-33 kts and that of course will push the swell up as the day goes along. It’s set to be showery through Thursday, and generally southerly through Friday arvo.

Looking ahead, the forecast models are currently showing us having a steady supply of 2-3 metre 8-9 sec south windswell along most of the NSW coast for pretty much the next week. The usual caveats apply of course!

Have yourself a terrific Tuesday!

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Feb 11 2008

Waves for those who want them…

Published by under Surf reports

 Some fun little sets at Dee Why 11 Feb 08

Hello Friends,

Looks as though there are still a few waves about this morning. Wind is  light as of 0730 and the SSE swell is averaging about 1.5 metres pretty much up and down the coast of NSW. The period has bumped up a bit and is now around the 9 sec mark, which is a good thing.

At Dee Why there are sets into the shoulder high range, but mostly it’s a bit smaller than that. We’re set to be rain-free today and the wind is due to get up to 15-20 kts from the NE this afternoon.

Outlook is for the conditions to fade toward flatness across the next 48 hours but then to perk up again into the surfable range as  Huey flicks the switch to southerly and showery around about Thursday.

Should be partly cloudy and around 24 on the coast of the Sydney region today.

Another day on planet earth – let’s make the most of it!

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Feb 10 2008

Published by under Surf reports

 Dee Why about 0915 Sunday 10 Feb 08

Hello Friends,

Swell is fading as expected, but if Dee Why’s any guide, there should still be a few rideable ones around the place. Sets are in the waist to chest high range and while not looking particularly powerful (average period is around the 7-8 sec mark), they can definitely be surfed. Primary swell direction is  out of the south and the height at sea is right on the 2 metre mark.

The forecast continues to look so-so for the next 7 days along the Sydney region’s beaches. Looks like weak little waves in the knee to waist high range for the most part at this stage. Things look a little more interesting up north midweek, and I’m hoping that by this time next week, we’re looking at something a bit more interesting.

Have yourself a top old day and go well!

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Feb 09 2008

Published by under Surf reports

 south narrabeen 9 Feb 08

Hello Friends,

Pretty ordinary sort of morning. Steady supply of rain and declining swell. There are still a few waves to be found (if you don’t mind the water quality) at places that favour the SE direction of the windswell. The numbers on the MHL buoy look good (2 metres at 10s from the SSE), but the size seems to be mostly in the chest high or smaller range – and it seems to be pretty inconsistent. One factor at the start of the day is the very high tide, so perhaps as we get toward lunch time, things might possibly improve – if the swell doesn’t fade too quickly.

Outlook for the rest of the day is so-so. From the way the other buoys look down the coast from here and from the forecast models, it would seem that we’re gradually heading for smaller conditions by late Monday.  Tuesday looks like being flat and Weds too, then the models show a little short period south pulse.

Have yourself a great day!

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