Archive for June, 2008

Jun 30 2008

Tiny…

Published by under Surf reports

0720: little ones dribble in on Monday morning.

Hello Friends,

Another lovely morning in Sydney. Clear skies, winter chill to the air, all that good stuff. One ingredient has gone missing however. Yes, as expected, the swell has just about completely faded away.

The swell at sea is now coming more from the SE, but average height is only about a metre and the period as around about 9 seconds.

There could be a few sets about the place though, because the MHL buoy is still showing some 13-14sec groundswell. This could translate into the odd chest high set at exposed places.

Outlook for the next couple days is still for lots of W-NW wind. It should be 20-30 kts by lunchtime, build a bit in the afternoon and then stay that way overnight and into Tuesday (when it may even pick up a little more).

There’s a bit of excitement on the forums about the swell prospects for next weekend, and looking at the models, I can see why. If possible I’ll pull together another look ahead for you later in the day. In the meantime, I’ve put up another little video of a few fun, offshore waves at Long Reef last Thursday. You’ll find it in the usual spot on realsurf.tv.

Go well with your day!

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Jun 29 2008

1000 curly

Published by under Podcasting by Don

utterz-image

Don is watching overhead sets at Curly.

Mobile post sent by mrRealSurf using Utterzreply-count Replies.  mp3

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Jun 29 2008

More waves! Woohoo!

Published by under Uncategorized

0720: little ones coming through the point

Hello Friends,

I’m always pleased to report that I’ve been unduly pessimistic about the surf prospects. And so it is this morning when I expected we’d be getting toward flatness territory. But instead, there are light NW winds and the SSE swell has actually improved very slightly in size and on the average period setting.

Down at Dee Why this is showing up as smallish waves (waist to chest high) sets at the point, and bigger (chest to head high plus) but mainly shutting down sets at the southern end of the beach. I reckon if you walked up toward No Man’s, there’d be a bit more size.

At the last data dump from the Sydney MHL buoy, average size at sea was just under the 2 metre mark and the average period is around 11 seconds. It looks as though there is some very long period component in the mix as well. 16 sec on the peaks according to the data. I’m a bit wary of those numbers though because they aren’t replicated down at Port Kembla. But, there are some spikes showing at Eden and Batemans Bay, so… I’m leaning toward it being real rather than the result of some idiot tying up a boat to the bouy.

The Bureau says we’re in for NW-N winds of 10-15kts in the morning, increasing to 15-20 in the afternoon.

The models continue to call for a couple days of near flatness from tomorrow, but late Wednesday night, the south swell should start up again.

Go well with your day!

0720: looks like there are a few solid sets still

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Jun 28 2008

Sat afternoon update

Published by under Surf reports

1445: Dee Why kinda messy, but sizable

Hi all,

Just a quick update shot from this afternoon. As you can see, the surface conditions are getting a little choppy, but there is some size up the beach from the point. Swell average period has actually bumped up a touch as well. So, I guess I was a little pessimistic in my early call!

Get out there and enjoy if you can.

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Jun 28 2008

Don’s 28 June surf report on 702 ABC Sydney

Published by under Podcasting by Don

Mobile post sent by mrRealSurf using Utterzreply-count Replies.  mp3

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Jun 28 2008

On the decline at Dee Why

Published by under Surf reports

Little Dee Why point

Hello Friends,

Across the Sydney region, the swell has continued its steady decline. It’s actually still around the same height at sea as it has been for the last four days, but the average period has dropped to around 8 seconds and the longer period stuff that has been delivering all those nice sets, has fallen from over 12sec yesterday morning to nearer 9sec as we get started on Saturday. Swell direction is out of the SSE, so the only places with anything much at all will be those facing dead south.

Where Dee Why’s concerned, that means only a few little knee to waist high things folding onto the beach and dribbling down the point. I reckon you’d get more size if you wandered up the beach toward No Man’s, but aside from the odd rogue set, I’d be amazed if you got more than chest high on anything.

The outlook for the next few days (as those who watched my vidcast yesterday afternoon will know) is not great. If the models are to be believed, we’re in for a continuing decline into flatness across the weekend. It looks as though that will last until around Wednesday afternoon, when the current reckoning is that another pulse of south swell will come in.

Get out there and have yourself a top old day

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Jun 27 2008

Swell is running down, but still around

Published by under Surf reports

A few small ones getting into the point

Hello Friends,

How were those offshores yesterday? Yikes. This morning dawns clear and comparatively breeze free in Sydney. The Bureau says it’ll stay that way with the wind call being for 10-15kts from the W/SW.

Huey’s turned the wave power setting down too. We’re now looking at average period of about 10 seconds for the 1.5-2 metres of pretty straight south swell. Yesterday there were pulses of 14+ sec stuff in the mix, but this morning they’re now around the 12 sec mark. And, I reckon the lulls are going to get longer as well. Size at Dee Why beach was in the chest high range. The point was smaller again. I reckon there could still be the odd overhead bomb at exposed spots such as Curly, etc.

I’m overdue to create another one of my forecast-vidcast things, so how ’bout I do a live broadcast at 4pm? I’ll find some nice stretch of beach to stand on as I spill the beans about how I reckon the next 7 days are shaping up. To check it out, just follow the link to my blog from below this report, and once you get there, look for the link at the top of the page that says “live vidcasts”. If you aren’t able to catch the live vidcast at 4, not to worry, it’s automatically saved so you can check it out whenever.

Okay, on with the next day in our lives. Hope it’s a good one for ya!

0720: a few still to be had in the beachy

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Jun 26 2008

Feel the wind

Published by under Uncategorized

0720: Dee Why point

Hello Friends,

The phone beeped me awake this morning with an sms from reporter Robbo telling me we still have swell. Wiped blear away, clambered up the ladder to the crows nest for my daily pics. Yep, as R. said, we got swell. There are a couple issues however.

First, there is the little matter of the howling wind. It’s blasting along at 20-30 kts from the WNW. So, the direction’s fine, but the speed setting is, shall we say, a touch enthusiastic Huey.

The second issue is our swell. The size at sea has dropped a touch and is now close to the metre mark. That would be very small if all we had to play with was the current 9 second period. Happily there are still some 14 sec sets in the mix. And therein lies the problem. It’s setty and I reckon as the day proceeds, the lulls will get longer. (When the sets come in, they are creating faces into the head high range on the bigger ones.)

The Bureau’s wind call is as follows: “NW 20/25 knots, increasing to 25/33 knots early, ahead of a W/SW change 25/33 knots during the afternoon. Sea: rising to 2.5 to 3.5 metres. Swell: S 2 to 3 metres. Dangerous surf conditions.”

Outlook is for the swell to hang in there at more or less these settings for another couple days, but to gradually get smaller through he weekend.

A bit of a head’s up for you all… at some point today I’m going to do a live vidcast from the beach. I’ll post an update in the report slot 10-15mins before I go on.

Have yourself a top old day and get a few if you can!

0720: Dee Why beach

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Jun 25 2008

Still a few to be had

Published by under Surf reports

Heading into a crunching close-out

Hello Friends,

Did you jag any of that long period pulse yesterday afternoon? As anticipated it started to push up from about 2pm on and by dusk there were some sizable sets at south facing beaches. This morning finds the situation somewhat reduced in intensity. Where yesterday arvo there’d been chest to head high plus sets (jump over to www.realsurf.tv to see the clips I shot from the water), this morning sees the average size considerably reduced. Looks like waist high maybe. The beachy is bigger though and I’d expect you could still find the odd overhead takeoff at south facing beaches.

The average size and swell direction haven’t changed much since mid-day yesterday when they were showing 2 metres from the SSE. Average period at the last report from the buoy was 11 second, but there is some peak stuff at around 14 sec in the mix.

And, according to the Bureau, this long period stuff should re-appear from time to time over the next few days as a series of intense lows pass through our swell window in the southern ocean.

Wind is set to be 13-18 kts from the WNW this morning, increasing to 18-23 this afternoon. And, that should co-incide with another long period pulse’s arrival.

I revisted my long range wrap after some technical difficulties day before yesterday. You can have a listen via the utterz widget down the page on the right.

The short version is that it looks like we should have waves through the weekend, but that tomorrow will be pretty windy.

Go well and get lots of waves!

Smaller this morning at the point

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Jun 24 2008

More waves to play with

Published by under Uncategorized

Little lines at the point at 0730

Hello Friends,

Nippy again this morning, but happily there’s a reason to brave the burrrr. At Dee Why, the best waves are up the beach toward Long Reef, but there are a few to be had at the point as well. Size is around the chest to shoulder high mark on the bigger ones at the beach and knee to chest high at the point.

And the good news is that it’s set to possibly improve… dig this from the Bureau’s summary:

A long period southerly swell will develop from the south today in the wake of the Tasman Sea front, and whilst most of the swell will move out into the Tasman Sea there may be sufficient strength in the waves about southern facing beaches to result in some dangerous surf conditions.

As I write this, there is no sign of a change to the period settings for Sydney. Overnight, it dropped back from about 9 to 8 seconds. The size is still around the 1.5 metre mark and the direction is SSE. However, at around midnight, the Eden buoy popped up from an average of 9 to nearly 12 seconds, and the size went from under two to close to 3 metres. That’d be a thumping swell if it holds at those settings up here. Batemans Bay started ramping up around 6 hours later, so, I’d say that swell isĀ  coming our way. My guess is that if we get anything, we should see obvious signs by mid-afternoon, but there could be forerunners arriving late this morning.

I worked up a forecast last night, but I might re-jig it this morning and post it later.

We have a technical issue this morning with our daily pic gallery, so if you’d like to see my pics, you’ll need to jump over to my blog. Naturally our tech guru is frantic at work, so not sure how quickly he’ll be able to get onto it…

Have yourself a top old day and check back because I plan to put up at least one update re this (potential) swell.

better lines along the beachy

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