Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

Jul 11 2008

Sun visible in Barossa

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Hello Friends,

Looks as though it’s a breezy old morning in Sydney. The Bureau has hoisted the gale warning, and at the last update, wind was out of the WNW at anywhere from 10-25kts. Sadly, it looks as though the average swell power has fallen through the floor. Yesterday’s marginal 8-9 sec setting has now tumbled to around 6 seconds. The only glimmer of hope is that the MHL buoy is showing some 12 sec stuff, so with luck the odd set is turning up at south exposed spots. But that wind won’t be helping matters.

It looks like there might possibly be a small improvement to swell conditions late tomorrow and into Sunday and the wind should be backing off as well. Sadly, the second week of NSW school hols is not currently looking too flash for waves…

Go well with your day!

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Jun 29 2008

More waves! Woohoo!

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0720: little ones coming through the point

Hello Friends,

I’m always pleased to report that I’ve been unduly pessimistic about the surf prospects. And so it is this morning when I expected we’d be getting toward flatness territory. But instead, there are light NW winds and the SSE swell has actually improved very slightly in size and on the average period setting.

Down at Dee Why this is showing up as smallish waves (waist to chest high) sets at the point, and bigger (chest to head high plus) but mainly shutting down sets at the southern end of the beach. I reckon if you walked up toward No Man’s, there’d be a bit more size.

At the last data dump from the Sydney MHL buoy, average size at sea was just under the 2 metre mark and the average period is around 11 seconds. It looks as though there is some very long period component in the mix as well. 16 sec on the peaks according to the data. I’m a bit wary of those numbers though because they aren’t replicated down at Port Kembla. But, there are some spikes showing at Eden and Batemans Bay, so… I’m leaning toward it being real rather than the result of some idiot tying up a boat to the bouy.

The Bureau says we’re in for NW-N winds of 10-15kts in the morning, increasing to 15-20 in the afternoon.

The models continue to call for a couple days of near flatness from tomorrow, but late Wednesday night, the south swell should start up again.

Go well with your day!

0720: looks like there are a few solid sets still

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Jun 26 2008

Feel the wind

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0720: Dee Why point

Hello Friends,

The phone beeped me awake this morning with an sms from reporter Robbo telling me we still have swell. Wiped blear away, clambered up the ladder to the crows nest for my daily pics. Yep, as R. said, we got swell. There are a couple issues however.

First, there is the little matter of the howling wind. It’s blasting along at 20-30 kts from the WNW. So, the direction’s fine, but the speed setting is, shall we say, a touch enthusiastic Huey.

The second issue is our swell. The size at sea has dropped a touch and is now close to the metre mark. That would be very small if all we had to play with was the current 9 second period. Happily there are still some 14 sec sets in the mix. And therein lies the problem. It’s setty and I reckon as the day proceeds, the lulls will get longer. (When the sets come in, they are creating faces into the head high range on the bigger ones.)

The Bureau’s wind call is as follows: “NW 20/25 knots, increasing to 25/33 knots early, ahead of a W/SW change 25/33 knots during the afternoon. Sea: rising to 2.5 to 3.5 metres. Swell: S 2 to 3 metres. Dangerous surf conditions.”

Outlook is for the swell to hang in there at more or less these settings for another couple days, but to gradually get smaller through he weekend.

A bit of a head’s up for you all… at some point today I’m going to do a live vidcast from the beach. I’ll post an update in the report slot 10-15mins before I go on.

Have yourself a top old day and get a few if you can!

0720: Dee Why beach

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Jun 24 2008

More waves to play with

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Little lines at the point at 0730

Hello Friends,

Nippy again this morning, but happily there’s a reason to brave the burrrr. At Dee Why, the best waves are up the beach toward Long Reef, but there are a few to be had at the point as well. Size is around the chest to shoulder high mark on the bigger ones at the beach and knee to chest high at the point.

And the good news is that it’s set to possibly improve… dig this from the Bureau’s summary:

A long period southerly swell will develop from the south today in the wake of the Tasman Sea front, and whilst most of the swell will move out into the Tasman Sea there may be sufficient strength in the waves about southern facing beaches to result in some dangerous surf conditions.

As I write this, there is no sign of a change to the period settings for Sydney. Overnight, it dropped back from about 9 to 8 seconds. The size is still around the 1.5 metre mark and the direction is SSE. However, at around midnight, the Eden buoy popped up from an average of 9 to nearly 12 seconds, and the size went from under two to close to 3 metres. That’d be a thumping swell if it holds at those settings up here. Batemans Bay started ramping up around 6 hours later, so, I’d say that swell is  coming our way. My guess is that if we get anything, we should see obvious signs by mid-afternoon, but there could be forerunners arriving late this morning.

I worked up a forecast last night, but I might re-jig it this morning and post it later.

We have a technical issue this morning with our daily pic gallery, so if you’d like to see my pics, you’ll need to jump over to my blog. Naturally our tech guru is frantic at work, so not sure how quickly he’ll be able to get onto it…

Have yourself a top old day and check back because I plan to put up at least one update re this (potential) swell.

better lines along the beachy

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Jun 23 2008

Sunny and cold morning

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Dee Why offering more options

Hello Friends,

Huey’s moved things around again overnight. The swell heights at sea have dropped from an average of three to two metres, but the period has bumped up from 8 to nearly 10 seconds and the direction, crucially for many Sydney region beaches, has moved toward the SE.

Wind is west to NW depending on where you’re standing and the speeds are 8-10 kts. It should stay this way inshore for the rest of the day. Not bad at all.

Sets toward the middle of the Dee Why to Longy stretch are around the shoulder high mark on the bigger ones. It wasn’t super crowded either. Nothing was really showing at the point and no one seemed to be in the water there.

I’ll try to get another forecast out for you later today, but what I can say without really digging into it, is that we look like staying well supplied with surfable conditions right through the coming week along most of the east coast. Those of you in Victoria will be seeing quite a bit more activity than us and the same can be said of west coast NZ. Some serious systems brewing in the southern ocean…

Have yourself a top old day!

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Jun 18 2008

More waves kiddies!

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Hello Friends,

Did you find waves yesterday? Want some more? Then go back, there should still be a few in the tank for you. The swell and period settings really haven’t changed much in the last 24 hours. It’s down very slightly, but still close to 2 metres on average out at sea. Direction remains from the SE and the period has nudged up ever so slightly into the 9-11 sec range.

Wind is currently W to WNW at around 5-6 kts. The call is for it to swing around to the NE to 8-13 kts later. Could be a few showers around this morning but this afternoon is set to have the odd sunny break.

Your webmaster has been busy at the video editing suite (aka his laptop) and last night I knocked out a few highlights from yesterday around lunchtime at Dee Why point – and I whipped out another scan of the wave models for the week ahead. Thank you for the polite applause!

Outlook is for the waves to continue along at much the same level today, to then gradually decline, but only slightly, into Friday. Then, on Saturday we get another boost of south swell as a vigorous SW change rolls through. So, nearly as I can make out, we have another 7 days of surfable conditions to look forward to. Lovely!

Hope you’ve managed to get out and jag a few. Go well!

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Jun 13 2008

Flat Friday… but Saturday…

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Hello Friends,

Light NW winds this morning and flat. One could leave it there and be on with the day… but your correspondent would have a word in your shell-like if you’re of a mind to listen. Over that nicely arranged morning horizon with its attractive selection of gilt edged, dove grey clouds, Huey is at work. The winds will gradually build from the west as the day goes on, the air rushing toward into  the vortex forming around a steadily deepening low pressure system.

The wind is set to ramp up into the 25-30kt range by lunchtime and by tea a 25-35 kt SW change should be upon us.

By tomorrow morning the wind should be around to the south in the Sydney region and powering along at 25-35 kts. By then the flatness will be a memory as Huey’s efforts become pretty obvious. At the moment it looks as though the swell will build to a peak Saturday night in Sydney. The swell peak will, on current reckoning, then move north along the coast, building as it goes. So, while we’re seeing it get smaller on Sunday (but still big!) on the mid north coast it will be getting even bigger. Of course, like us, they’ll be getting the full wind treatment, with howling SW’ly all weekend.

Not sure how photogenic it’ll be, but my camcorder is charged up in anticipation…

Go well with your day!

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Jun 11 2008

Small waves about

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Dee Why beach 0730 Weds

Hello Friends,

Looks as though we still have a few little ones around this morning at those beaches that can do something with the gradually weakening NE windswell. At Dee Why there were a few folks finding surfable waist to chest high moments in the beachy. With an average period of around 8 seconds, the power levels are not spectacular, so the longer craft are going to have the advantage.

The Bureau says that we’ll have NW wind of 10-15kts today, so although it’s set to be small – and getting smaller – the surface conditions should be ok to good.

Sorry not to have created a new vidcast of my thoughts on the coming week’s surf prospects. Kinda got tied up with other stuff… but I’ll make an effort today because it looks as though this weekend could be massive…

Have yourself a top old day!

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Jun 01 2008

Uninteresting looking surf situation

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Hello Friends,

It’s very small, weak and choppy.

Just stay happy and you’ll be perfectly fine. -Jack Norris

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May 13 2008

Thar she goes (swell that is)

Published by under Surf reports,Uncategorized

Hello Friends,

Oh dear, as feared, our swell is going out the door backwards. Hope you jagged a few yesterday because it looks as though we’re bumping along at knee to waist high this morning. The long-period pulse that arrived around dawn on Monday began fading last night. As I tap this out, it’s still around the 9 second mark on average, but the peak periods which yesterday peaked at 14 seconds (!) are now around 11. Average swell height at sea has gone from nearly 2 metres to about a metre. The only good thing is that the direction has moved toward the Sydney sweet spot of 135 degrees (SE).

The surf outlook for the remainder of the week along the entire east coast is, not to put too fine a point on it, dismal.

I really hope to be proven completely and utterly wrong on this call…

Go well with your day!

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