thinking out loud

Hello Friends,

Light NW winds this morning and flat. One could leave it there and be on with the day… but your correspondent would have a word in your shell-like if you’re of a mind to listen. Over that nicely arranged morning horizon with its attractive selection of gilt edged, dove grey clouds, Huey is at work. The winds will gradually build from the west as the day goes on, the air rushing toward into  the vortex forming around a steadily deepening low pressure system.

The wind is set to ramp up into the 25-30kt range by lunchtime and by tea a 25-35 kt SW change should be upon us.

By tomorrow morning the wind should be around to the south in the Sydney region and powering along at 25-35 kts. By then the flatness will be a memory as Huey’s efforts become pretty obvious. At the moment it looks as though the swell will build to a peak Saturday night in Sydney. The swell peak will, on current reckoning, then move north along the coast, building as it goes. So, while we’re seeing it get smaller on Sunday (but still big!) on the mid north coast it will be getting even bigger. Of course, like us, they’ll be getting the full wind treatment, with howling SW’ly all weekend.

Not sure how photogenic it’ll be, but my camcorder is charged up in anticipation…

Go well with your day!

Hello Friends,

Seems the realsurf report uploader broke when we upgraded some code last night. So, only those of you who have got in the habit of checking this out will have something to read until we get it fixed.

From the forecast, I’d been lead to believe we’d have lashing winds and threatening skies. They’re right about the temp though. Just 14 up here on Collaroy Plateau. Anyway, the surf situation is as expected: utterly flat and hopeless where Dee Why’s concerned.

Here’s the Bureau’s summary for this morning:

A Low is developing in the Tasman Sea. It is expected to deepen rapidly during the day, with southwesterly winds over coastal waters increasing to gale force, chiefly offshore. The Low will move towards New Zealand on Monday and winds will ease as a High ridges eastwards over New South Wales.

What microscopic waves we have are coming from the south at 6sec apart and only a metre or so. The wind is coming though.

Again, to quote from the Bureau:

W 15/25 knots tending SW during the morning and increasing to 20/30 knots, reaching 34/40 knots offshore in the afternoon/evening.Sea: Rising to 2 to 3 metres and to 3.5 to 4.5 metres offshore..Swell: S below 1 metre increasing to 2 metres late afternoon and evening.
Monday: Wind: SW 25/35 knots, easing gradually to 13/18 knots.Sea: 2.5 to 3.5 metres abating to 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: S 2.5 to 3 metres. (computer models reckon 8-9sec period)

Hope you get up to fun stuff today. Kite flying sounds promising!

Hello Friends,

That loud sound you hear is Huey dropping the ball. Completely in line with expectations, the swell has faded to just about nothing. Here are the harsh numbers east coasters: in Sydney the average swell height at sea is 0.5 metre, it’s coming from the SE at just 6 seconds apart.

Looks as though it’ll stay this way for another couple days or so too.

Got caught up in other projects yesterday evening, so didn’t do the long range forecast. I promise to try very hard to make one happen later today though!

Have yourself a top old day!